Geopolitics

A senior political source admits that in the shadow of the growing tension with Turkey, the exchange of messages via Azerbaijan has recently decreased. At the same time, President Erdogan sends a threatening message to Greece, two days after it signed a huge arms deal with Israel, and claimed that it is arming islands near the Turkish coast: "Whoever interprets our restrained approach as weakness...

Six months into the war, a hard core of generals and clerics has formed in Iran, declaring they are prepared for a prolonged conflict. The younger Khamenei, who has yet to appear in public, has surrounded himself with veteran allies and returned those who previously led the suppression of protests to senior positions. Trump promised "regime change" and got extremists: this is what the new...

Against the backdrop of Donald Trump's threats regarding the American need for control in the Arctic region and his repeated statements about American annexation intentions for neighboring Greenland, the residents of Iceland will go to the polls this coming Saturday for a referendum that will decide whether to reopen accession talks with the European Union.

China is strengthening its power in the field of artificial intelligence, while the US is working to prevent it from accessing critical resources. 6G networks are expected to be deployed only by 2030, but are already occupying regulators. And the historical turning point in Japan's security approach.

Reports that Benjamin Netanyahu's office vetoed a Turkish foothold near the border are infuriating the establishment in Ankara. A former senior naval officer accuses Israel of systematically dismantling the Assad army and calls for the deployment of game-changing weapons.

Iran is looking for an achievement that will return it to the negotiating table from a position of strength, Donald Trump is testing the limits of pressure, and Israel is preparing for another round. At the same time, the Houthis are signaling escalation against Saudi Arabia, and tensions in Europe are rising.

Indian Major General (Ret.) Gagan Deep Bakshi has issued a sharp critique of Israel, stating that New Delhi will not sacrifice its interests regarding Iran. He also expressed concern over the formation of a "Sunni NATO" and the nuclear arsenal of Pakistan.

Facing Ankara's attempts to establish forward bases and monitoring capabilities on our border, Israel must act decisively to reshape the balance of power and prevent a new strategic threat.

Iran is considering expanding its range of attacks to Europe if US President Donald Trump escalates the conflict, according to a report by the Financial Times. Potential targets include sites in Bulgaria and Cyprus.

Yields in the USA have crossed a worrying threshold and offer a low-risk alternative. At the Poriya investment house, they analyze the impact of geopolitical tension and identify the point at which it is worth selling dollars.

The Revolutionary Guards have shifted their strategy in an attempt to drive up oil prices. The goal is to drag the US into a partial renewal of a war that is unpopular with the American public. Missiles were fired at the UAE for the first time in two months, with further attacks expected across the Gulf.

Trump threatens to bomb Oman, but his inflammatory rhetoric only weakens the US. Instead of losing an important ally, he should speak quietly, exert real pressure, and stop crying 'wolf'.

Dr. Tamar Eilam Gindin spoke with Prof. Aryeh Eldad and Ron Koffman about the internal situation in Iran and the condition of Mojtaba Khamenei. According to her, the question of his condition is important only on a declarative level: "Suppose he is alive - he is not the one making the decisions."

Donald Trump's desire to reach an arrangement with Tehran stems not only from fears of high fuel prices or political pressure at home. It reflects a broader strategic dilemma: how long can the United States continue to invest forces, munitions, and attention in a war with Iran without harming its ability to deter the adversary it defines as the primary challenge — China.

In the strategic sophistication of the Middle East, the primary target of the Saudi-Turkish-Pakistani triangle is not Israel, but Tehran. When Riyadh builds a solid wall against Tehran, backed by Turkish technology and a Pakistani army, the regional balance of deterrence shifts in our favor.

The American decision on whether to attack Iran or refrain from action is not made in a vacuum. It is a product of a system of checks and balances, in which the Saudi voice has become more significant than ever.

Exporting nuclear reactors is not just an infrastructure deal, but a tool for geopolitical influence. The supplier secures technological and political ties for decades to come.

The most serious confrontation in years between China and the Philippines in the South China Sea sharpens regional fears regarding the weakening of American deterrence. The war with Iran has depleted Washington's essential weapons stockpiles, and its allies are wondering if it can contain Beijing. Simultaneously, Donald Trump is growing closer to Xi and closing consulates in Asia.

Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and the UAE are investing billions in Africa, taking over ports, and expanding their military presence. The goal: minerals, shipping routes, and influence over one of the most important arenas in the world.

This is how the crisis with Iran could quickly deteriorate into a massive campaign spanning from the Red Sea, through Eastern Europe, to the Pacific Ocean.

If an arrangement is reached that restores freedom of navigation and allows Iran to export oil, all sides will be able to declare victory. But if the talks fail, the story changes quickly.

After the fall of the Assad regime, Moscow is no longer the hegemonic power in Syria. Damascus is reclaiming infrastructure in Hmeimim and Tartus, while Russia tries to maintain influence through training, weapons, energy, and economic dependence, with implications for Israel as well.

The joint agreement between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan is a significant loss for Israel and the USA. It testifies to the disappointment of the Gulf states in the United States, which failed against the Iranian threat, and clarifies the price of the Israeli refusal to normalize relations with Riyadh. Although the defense alliance is unlikely to work in real-time, it is a serious problem.

Professor Eyal Zisser discussed with Ron Kofman and Aryeh Eldad the reports suggesting that certain regional actors sought peace with Israel to prepare for a covert confrontation. The expert dismissed these claims as "marketing non-news" and urged against overreacting to such narratives.

Wars, flight cancellations, fires, and heatwaves are making vacations a product that is harder to commit to months in advance. The result is a shift in booking habits: more last-minute decisions, closer destinations, more expensive insurance, and an extra premium for the option to change plans. In such a world, the cheapest room or ticket is no longer necessarily the best deal.

Dr. Raz Zimmt expressed a pessimistic forecast regarding the situation with Iran during an interview on 103FM. Among other things, he claimed that the Revolutionary Guards will not agree to compromise within the framework of the negotiations.

The United States' war against Iran has become a war of no choice, because at stake is the American ability to control the sea, which is the fundamental condition for superpower status.

Donald Trump has not lost it. Everything is part of the plan to buy time until the midterm elections and/or until the Iranian economy, and with it the regime in Tehran, collapses completely.

The migration crisis in the Spanish enclaves undermines the international standing of Morocco, our important partner in the Abraham Accords, which until now has stood out as a regional anchor of political and economic stability.

Dr. Kobi Barda, a historian of American politics, criticized the US president's conduct regarding Iran during an interview on 103FM. He also provided a perspective on the American situation vis-à-vis China.

Pyongyang toughens its tone against Japan and deepens aid to Russia. Pro-Palestinian candidate defeated an AIPAC candidate in Michigan. And the content creator murdered during a live broadcast in Mexico. Global Zoom.

Instead of enforcing international law, the US is negotiating the very freedom of navigation — and paying Iran with strategic concessions. The only way to neutralize the extortion: a diplomatic firewall, determined military enforcement, and an economic safety net.

The wars in Iran and Ukraine, historic fires, the migration crisis, and fears of rising energy prices expose Europe's weakness, as it struggles to influence the decisions that shape its security and future.

American journalist Steve Coll analyzes Saddam Hussein's meeting transcripts in his book "Achilles Trap," arguing that the lack of direct dialogue with enemies leads to dangerous miscalculations.

This time, no one was surprised when Donald Trump announced the postponement of the strike "because the Iranians asked" or some other lie. As usual, the Iranians denied any agreement and, as proof, attacked another ship in the Strait of Hormuz.

President Donald Trump's fifth decision to cancel military strikes against Iran in favor of diplomacy is eroding American deterrence. Tehran continues to leverage its control over the Strait of Hormuz.

A senior Iranian official stated that Tehran has realized it must establish leverage before negotiating with Donald Trump. Meanwhile, reports indicate the US is facing a shortage of long-range missiles.

Globes presents a daily short review of interesting news from the global media about Israel. This edition: Iran's bet on a war of attrition, the new reality for bankers in Dubai, and a profile of the Chief Rabbi of Iran.

Hundreds of man-portable air-defense systems may soon be sent from China to Iran, marking a dangerous shift in relations. Until now, Beijing has helped Tehran behind the scenes but avoided direct arms sales. What is behind this course change, what the missiles offer Iran, and the threat Donald Trump has already issued to Beijing: "It will be very bad for you."

Although Gulf Cooperation Council states view Tehran as a major threat, the recent war has proven there is no unified Gulf position. From Oman, which sticks to dialogue, through Bahrain, which relies on military deterrence, to Saudi Arabia and the UAE — a comprehensive analysis of the countries' approaches and the critical significance for Israel's foreign and security policy.

Over the past week, we witnessed three instances of extreme shifts in Trump's decisions. Perhaps this indicates a sobering process the president is undergoing regarding the complex reality of the Middle East and the difficulty of resolving conflicts. What is certain is that the new reality is impossible for Israel.

Oil prices fell sharply after Iran announced a suspension of attacks, provided the US maintains a cessation of hostilities. Meanwhile, investors are bracing for the Fed's interest rate decision and a busy week of earnings reports.

Russia is deeply mired in the war in Ukraine, suffering heavy casualties and facing economic strain. However, according to a strategic document by the Atlantic Council, Vladimir Putin is not stopping. The West fears he may attempt to break the stalemate by provoking a crisis on NATO territory to prove that the mutual defense clause is merely an illusion.

If the US and its allies try to strangle Iran economically, Iran will attempt to strangle the global economy. The question is whether the US has realized that the problem is not the nuclear program, but the fundamental assumption that a settlement is possible.

This is the true test of the agreement: not only whether Hezbollah will be disarmed, but who will fill the void that will be created. Sovereignty does not boil down to waving a flag, deploying soldiers, or words written on a page. The state must provide a roof for the displaced, compensate the families, and establish a dedicated reconstruction authority that will handle the rebuilding of the...