Mandate poll: Netanyahu strengthens, new parties fail to pass threshold
A new poll shows a shake-up in the mandate map: two new parties fail to pass the electoral threshold, the Netanyahu bloc strengthens, and Netanyahu opens a gap over Eisenkot.
The mandate map is being updated following the launch of two new parties, but according to a new poll published by Kan 11 this Sunday, both are failing at this stage to pass the electoral threshold. This result directly affects the distribution of power and brings the Netanyahu bloc to 53 mandates, an increase of one mandate from recent polls. Likud continues to lead the political map with 24 mandates, while the "Yashar!" party led by Gadi Eisenkot maintains its strength with 23 mandates. "Beyachad" led by Naftali Bennett also remains stable with 13 mandates.
Moderate changes are recorded in the right-wing parties. Otzma Yehudit drops by one mandate to 8, while the Religious Zionism party rises to 5 mandates. Yisrael Beiteinu also strengthens and rises to 10 mandates. Shas and United Torah Judaism receive 8 mandates each. One of the notable developments in the poll concerns the Democrats party: after the decline recorded in the previous poll, Yair Golan recovers and returns to 10 mandates.
Movement is also recorded in the Arab sector. Ra'am rises to 6 mandates, against the backdrop of rumors regarding the possibility of Yoav Segalovitz joining the party. At the same time, in a scenario of a union between Hadash-Ta'al and Balad, the union reaches 8 mandates. However, the main headline regarding the new parties is precisely the failure to pass the electoral threshold. The party of Tropper and Hendel, as well as the party of Erdan and Edelstein, do not enter the Knesset according to the poll results. Blue and White, Dedi Simhi's party, and Balad also remain below the threshold.
Parallel to the mandate map, the poll points to the strengthening of Benjamin Netanyahu on the question of suitability for the premiership:
41% of respondents prefer Netanyahu, compared to 34% who prefer Eisenkot - a gap of seven percent.
The poll also includes data regarding the trend of emigration from the country. According to the findings, about a fifth of the public have recently considered leaving Israel, while about a third of respondents said they know at least one person who has left the country over the last two years.
The mandate map, therefore, continues to present a close race between Likud and Eisenkot, but as of now, the new parties launched in the last week are failing to change the picture - and are even contributing to the strengthening of the bloc identified with Netanyahu.
