Behind the scenes - This is how Iran is trying to use the ceasefire to recover
A security source who spoke with N12 outlined the Iranian moves: they are focusing on producing cheap and easy-to-operate missiles - and are not afraid of entering another conflict. "Iran will try to disrupt the blockade on it - and it may move to a stage of opening fire," he said.
In Tehran, they are taking advantage of the ceasefire to rehabilitate the ballistic missile production system, a security source told N12 this morning (Wednesday). According to him, the USA is containing attacks and threats against ships in the region, yet in Tehran, they are not afraid to escalate the conflict.
Some of the missiles produced in Iran are liquid-fueled. These are missiles with systems that are simple to produce and operate compared to more advanced missiles, which are based on solid fuel or have a multiple independently targetable reentry vehicle (MIRV). At the same time, in the nuclear field, the Iranians are building at a high rate the site in the Mechush mountain, to which they intend to transfer uranium enrichment activity. Estimates indicate that Iran currently has more than a thousand missiles that can reach Israel, alongside a larger stockpile of shorter-range missiles.
Also in the proxy sector, the buildup of power continues, the security source claimed. The Houthis have managed to embed weapons and forces in Yemen in a way that allows them to threaten freedom of navigation and create a threat to the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.
The Iranian goal is to deal with Donald Trump's perception that a prolonged siege and economic strangulation can be imposed on Iran. According to the source, in Tehran, they do not intend to accept the move, and the Iranian message is effectively: siege for siege - Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb.
"If the Iranians identify that the countries of the region are adapting to the closure of shipping lanes, they are expected to escalate the campaign even further. They are not afraid to enter another campaign, and from their perspective, a reality in which there is no war but also no significant achievement, could endanger the regime," the source emphasized.
The Iranian power buildup also includes continued support for proxies: first and foremost the Houthis, alongside exerting pressure on Iraq to stop the dismantling of Shiite militias, and continued support for Hezbollah. The source added that Iran is not expected to sit idly by in the face of an attempt to strangle it economically. It will respond by intensifying efforts to disrupt the blockade, and if this move does not work, it may move to a stage of opening fire. If fire is indeed opened, the initial targets may be countries in the region, including Jordan, and later also Israel.
