Eizenkot rises, Bennett falls: Betting markets weigh in on election outcomes
Betting platform Polymarket indicates that former IDF Chief of Staff Gadi Eizenkot has a 52% chance of becoming Israel's next Prime Minister, while former Prime Minister Naftali Bennett's chances have dropped to 7%. Benjamin Netanyahu currently holds 34%.
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel? On the world's largest betting platform, Polymarket, the trend continues to favor former IDF Chief of Staff Gadi Eizenkot, who currently holds a 52% chance of securing the premiership. Meanwhile, former Prime Minister Naftali Bennett, who previously led the betting tables, continues to decline.
According to Polymarket data as of Thursday, Eizenkot leads with 52%, followed by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu with 34%, and Bennett in third place with only 7%. Throughout May, Bennett led the betting markets, but his standing has been consistently dropping since June.
Also listed are Avigdor Lieberman with 4% of the chances, while other candidates—including Itamar Ben Gvir, Yariv Levin, Amir Ohana, Gideon Sa'ar, and others—each hold less than 1%.
According to a mandate poll by Channel 14, the Likud leads with 32 mandates, followed by Eizenkot's 'Yesh' with 22, Yair Golan's 'Democrats' with 10, Shas with 10, United Torah Judaism with 8, Yisrael Beiteinu with 8, Otzma Yehudit with 7, the 'Yachad' alliance of Bennett and Lapid with 7, Hadash-Ta'al with 6, Religious Zionism with 5, and Ra'am with 5.
