Tel Aviv Stocks Plunge as Election Uncertainty Triggers Real Estate Slump

Tel Aviv stocks plummeted as election uncertainty sparked a sharp sell-off, with real estate and construction sectors dropping up to 8% amid high interest rates.

Tel Aviv Stocks Plunge as Election Uncertainty Triggers Real Estate Slump
Photo-illustration WireIsrael: AI Generated

Tel Aviv Stock Exchange indices tumbled into the red amid mounting concerns over an inconclusive election outcome and prolonged political uncertainty. The real estate sector bore the brunt of the sell-off, plunging by approximately 6.5%, while the construction sector suffered an even steeper drop of around 8%. Market participants note this could mark the worst single-day performance for the index since October 2023, following the outbreak of the war.

Ziv Ein Eli, real estate analyst at IBI Investment House, noted that the downturn is broad-based, accompanied by a weakening shekel and rising government bond yields. Investors fear a prolonged political deadlock that could lead to additional election cycles, amplifying market volatility and keeping interest rates elevated. Real estate reacts most acutely because it is heavily exposed to prevailing interest rate environments and broader economic conditions.

Just last week, the Bank of Israel opted to keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 3.25%. High borrowing costs weigh heavily on residential developers, who face soaring financing expenses alongside expensive mortgages for prospective homebuyers. Ein Eli warned that ongoing political turmoil could freeze market investments, impact income-producing properties, and further depress apartment sales amid rising housing inventories.

Market observers also point out that the steep correction follows a recent rally in property shares. While the TA-35 index slipped by 0.2% in the week leading up to the vote, the TA Real Estate index gained 3.4% and the construction index advanced by nearly 4%, suggesting that some investors had priced in a different political outcome.

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