Climate forecasts are collapsing: The trapped energy that is heating the planet

A special project by NASA reveals that the planet's energy balance has been dramatically disrupted, with one of the main reasons being a positive move led by countries around the world.

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Climate forecasts are collapsing: The trapped energy that is heating the planet
Photo: ICE / כדור הארץ (צילום freepik)

The view of Earth from space is becoming dimmer and more troubling year by year. New data from NASA's CERES project, which tracks the planet's energy balance, presents a grim picture: the albedo — the amount of sunlight reflected from Earth back into space — is steadily decreasing. The meaning is clear: instead of repelling the sun's rays, Earth is becoming a lethal sponge for energy and heat.

The difference between the energy entering from the sun and the energy emitted outward is called EEI (Earth Energy Imbalance). According to the data, the EEI has more than doubled since the year 2000. This excess energy, trapped inside the Earth, is mostly absorbed by the oceans and leads to a dramatic warming of the water. Climate scientists warn that this trend could accelerate temperature rises in the short term by up to 30% more than accepted forecasts.

One of the surprising reasons for Earth's dimming is actually the reduction of pollution! International regulations that limited the emission of toxic sulfur particles from ships and power plants have indeed improved air quality, but these particles, which served as effective little light reflectors in the sky, are now missing. Without them, less radiation is repelled into space, and global warming is only accelerating.

While the world struggles to meet "net-zero" targets, scientists are beginning to whisper about the most radical solution: climate engineering. The idea is to disperse safe aerosols in the stratosphere (as an Israeli company called Stardust Solutions is already trying to develop), with the goal of restoring Earth's shine and cooling it proactively. The idea sparks fierce opposition, but as the heat rises, the most extreme steps may become reality.

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