The quiet race for gold: Why are the world's central banks hoarding the precious metal?

A record 45% of central banks plan to increase their gold reserves. Fears of inflation, geopolitical conflicts, and economic crises are accelerating purchases. The desire to reduce dependence on the dollar is also pushing countries to stock up on the metal, which is considered a safe haven in times of uncertainty.

Israel HayomAuthor: Asaf Golan
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The quiet race for gold: Why are the world's central banks hoarding the precious metal?
Photo: Israel Hayom / זהב (אילוסטרציה). צילום: רויטרס

The financial world has been experiencing a phenomenon in recent years that can be defined as a quiet and massive race for gold. While the modern world is often focused on technology stocks and digital currencies, central banks — the institutions that manage countries' money reserves — are returning in droves to the ancient metal mined from the earth.

A survey by the World Gold Council found that a record 45% of central banks plan to increase their gold reserves, with about 89% of them expecting global gold holdings to continue to grow in the coming year.

The main reasons for the massive purchase

Central banks view gold as a safe haven in times of economic and political instability. Unlike paper currencies or government debt, the value of gold is not tied to the economic policy or financial health of any single country.

The main reasons cited by banks for purchasing gold include protection against inflation, gold's proven performance in times of crisis as a long-term store of value, and the need to diversify foreign exchange reserves. For many countries, gold serves as an essential layer of protection against global instability and market volatility.

Global unrest and fears of economic collapse

The current race for gold is taking place against a backdrop of growing geopolitical uncertainty and heavy concerns about the economic future. Spreading wars, rising trade tensions, and inflation that remains stubbornly high are pushing governments to prepare for a less predictable world. Global debt is at record levels, and major currencies are losing their value, making gold similar to an economic "lifeboat" in the event of severe shocks.

Another significant trend driving purchases is "de-dollarization." Countries like China, Russia, and India are leading a move to reduce dependence on the US dollar, increasing their gold holdings as a declaration of declining confidence in the American currency and as protection against potential economic sanctions. Nearly three-quarters of central banks expect the dollar's share in global reserves to fall within five years.

Should private investors rush to buy gold?

Despite the global trend, experts point out that for the private investor, the decision should be based on personal goals and not on panic. Gold is generally not intended for generating quick profits and may disappoint those looking to get rich overnight.

However, it is considered one of the most reliable assets for maintaining stability in the long term. Financial experts often recommend holding between 5% and 10% of an investment portfolio in gold to provide a safety cushion against economic shocks, without locking up too much capital in an asset that does not yield interest.

Explanation of gold trading

Gold trading today is very diverse and does not necessarily require physical possession of gold bars in a home safe. One can gain exposure to the precious metal in several main ways:

  1. Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs): securities that track the price of gold and allow for easy buying and selling on the stock exchange.

  2. Digital platforms: services that allow for the purchase of digital gold backed by physical gold.

  3. Physical purchase: buying gold coins or small bars from authorized entities.

This trend reflects the world's gradual loss of confidence in "paper promises" and the search for something tangible and stable to hold onto during periods when the global economy feels less secure than ever.

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