Futurist Warns US-China Tensions Over Taiwan Peak Toward 2027
Prof. David Passig warns that US-China tensions could peak by 2027, raising the risk of a military conflict over Taiwan amid a volatile global transition.
Futurist Prof. David Passig warns that 2027 could serve as a dangerous turning point in relations between the USA and China. Speaking on a podcast, the Bar-Ilan University researcher explained that both superpowers are approaching a critical period where a miscalculation could trigger a military conflict, with Taiwan serving as the central flashpoint.
Passig noted that Beijing has set a target for its military to be ready for war by 2027, prompting Washington to issue matching directives. Rather than a full-scale amphibious invasion, Passig considers a prolonged maritime blockade of Taiwan to be the most probable scenario, designed to exert sustained economic pressure without the massive costs of an invasion.
A major point of vulnerability, according to Passig, is the current state of American industrial capacity. Decades of reliance on imports and foreign manufacturing have left the USA struggling to rebuild its domestic production infrastructure, a process he estimates will take 10 to 15 years.
He characterizes the upcoming decade as a chaotic and dangerous transitional era marking the end of the unipolar global order. Passig terms the emerging framework "trans-hegemonies," a multipolar system driven by shifting alliances rather than a single dominant superpower.
