Surprising Poll: Likud Reaches 32 Mandates, Bennett and Lapid Lose Ground

A poll conducted by Channel 14 and Shlomo Filber shows a strong lead for Benjamin Netanyahu. The coalition secures 62 mandates, while the opposition bloc shows low figures.

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Surprising Poll: Likud Reaches 32 Mandates, Bennett and Lapid Lose Ground
Photo: ICE / נתניהו ואיזנקוט (צילום יונתן זינדל, מרים אלסטר, פלאש 90, Shutterstock)

Against the backdrop of the upcoming elections scheduled for October 27, 2026, Channel 14 released the results of a poll conducted by NEXT DATA. The study involved 878 respondents, with data analysis performed by Shlomo Filber.

According to the findings, the coalition bloc led by Benjamin Netanyahu secures 62 mandates, enabling the formation of a government. The opposition bloc, including Arab parties, gathers a total of 48 mandates.

Likud, led by Netanyahu, holds first place with 32 mandates. Gadi Eisenkot follows with 23 mandates. The third-largest party is the Democrats, led by Yair Golan, with 12 mandates.

Distribution of the remaining mandates:

  • Shas — 10

  • Otzma Yehudit (Itamar Ben Gvir) — 8

  • United Torah Judaism — 7

  • Joint list of Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid — 7

  • Yisrael Beiteinu (Avigdor Lieberman) — 6

  • Religious Zionism (Bezalel Smotrich) — 5

  • Ra'am — 5

  • Hadash-Ta'al — 5

The following parties failed to pass the electoral threshold: Yesodot Yisrael (2.1%), Balad (1.9%), Zehut (1.3%), and Blue and White (0.9%). Notably, the party of Yoaz Hendel and Chili Tropper was not included in this poll.

«Benjamin Netanyahu received 52% support as the most suitable candidate for Prime Minister. Gadi Eisenkot received 37%, Naftali Bennett 6%, Avigdor Lieberman 4%, and Benny Gantz 1%.»

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