Surprising poll: Eisenkot leads Netanyahu in mandate distribution
A Channel 13 poll shows significant shifts in the political map: Gadi Eisenkot's party takes the lead, Likud weakens, and the gap regarding suitability for Prime Minister widens.
The mandate poll by Channel 13, published this Wednesday, presents a scenario in which the "Yashar!" party led by Gadi Eisenkot maintains its strength with 23 mandates, while Likud drops to 21. The "Beyachad" party led by Naftali Bennett receives 12 mandates, followed by "The Democrats" with 11.
Yisrael Beiteinu receives 10 mandates, Otzma Yehudit 8, United Torah Judaism 8, and Shas 7. "Beit Tzioni," led by Yoaz Hendel and Chili Tropper, crosses the electoral threshold with 4 mandates. Conversely, the parties of Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein, Balad, and Blue and White led by Benny Gantz fail to cross the threshold.
According to the data, the opposition bloc led by Eisenkot stands at 56 mandates. The addition of "Beit Tzioni" increases the bloc's strength to 60 seats. The coalition bloc led by Benjamin Netanyahu receives 49 mandates, while Arab parties hold 11.
Regarding suitability for Prime Minister, a significant gap is recorded: 47% of respondents prefer Eisenkot, compared to 34% for Netanyahu. Among coalition supporters, 90% prefer Netanyahu, while 71% of the general public prefer Eisenkot.
The survey also examined merger scenarios. If Chili Tropper joins Eisenkot, "Yashar!" receives 22 mandates, and Likud drops to 20. In this scenario, the opposition bloc reaches 57 mandates, the coalition bloc 49, and Arab parties 14.
The survey was conducted by "Ha-Madad," led by Shmuel Rosner and Noah Slepkov, in cooperation with Stat-Net, the Midgam Project, and Askaria. A total of 1,240 respondents participated, with a sampling error of 3.9%.
