Dramatic mandate poll: Eisenkot's bloc loses the lead for the first time
Channel 13 poll shows a change at the top: Yashar! loses 2 mandates, Likud strengthens by the same amount, and Bennett drops by one mandate. At the same time, the two main blocs reach 53 mandates each, with the Arab parties holding 14 mandates.
The Channel 13 poll published this Wednesday evening shows a change in the mandate map, as the Yashar! party led by Gadi Eisenkot remains the largest, but loses 2 mandates compared to the previous survey. At the same time, the Likud led by Benjamin Netanyahu strengthens by 2 mandates, and the gap between the two parties narrows to one mandate.
According to the poll, if the elections were held today, Yashar! would receive 22 mandates, compared to 21 mandates for Likud. The Beyahad party led by Naftali Bennett receives 12 mandates, a decrease of one, and the Democrats led by Yair Golan receive 11 mandates.
The Joint List of Hadash, Ta'al, and Balad receives 9 mandates. Yisrael Beiteinu led by Avigdor Lieberman and United Torah Judaism receive 8 mandates each.
Shas and Otzma Yehudit receive 7 mandates each, while the union between Religious Zionism led by Bezalel Smotrich and Zehut led by Moshe Feiglin receives 6 mandates.
Ra'am led by Mansour Abbas receives 5 mandates, while the Amcha Yisrael party led by Ofer Winter crosses the electoral threshold for the first time in a poll and receives 4 mandates.
The shift in the mandate map has led to a tie between the two main blocs. According to the poll, the Netanyahu bloc receives 53 mandates, the Eisenkot bloc receives 53 mandates, and the Arab parties hold 14 mandates.
Below the electoral threshold are:
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Beit Tzioni-Hamiluimenikim (Chili Tropper and Yoaz Hendel) — 2.2%
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Blue and White (Benny Gantz) — 1.2%
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Ha-Achdut (Gilad Erdan) — 0.6%
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Ha-Tzibur Ha-Charedi — 0.3%
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Makom Le-Kulan — 0.3%
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The Economic Party — 0.2%
On the question of suitability for Prime Minister, Gadi Eisenkot continues to lead over Netanyahu. 47% of respondents said that Eisenkot is more suitable for the position, compared to 37% who answered Benjamin Netanyahu.
The poll also examined fears regarding physical harm to one of the candidates before the elections. 39% of respondents said they fear this, 46% answered that they do not, and 15% said they do not know.
The poll was conducted by Ha-Madad in collaboration with Stat-Net, the Midgam project, and Askaria. A total of 940 respondents participated, and the sampling error is 3.4%.
