Israeli fire is restrained, the multinational force is delayed — and Hamas gets time to recover
It has become known to N12 that the implementation of the Peace Council plan and the entry of the force will not begin before October. It is possible that the multinational force will enter only after the elections. The UAE is promoting the establishment of a new neighborhood in eastern Rafah.
The news in brief: The multinational force is not expected to enter the Gaza Strip before October, and it is possible that it will only enter after the elections. Morocco, Kosovo, and Albania are expected to send hundreds of soldiers to the task force. The establishment of the 'Green Rafah' neighborhood is expected to begin only towards November 2026. The Shin Bet is working to train local militias as an alternative governing body in the Strip. Hamas is exploiting the delay in the plan to rearm and recruit new operatives.
The IDF's attacks in the Gaza Strip have indeed stopped, but the 15-point plan that is supposed to shape the 'day after' is still far from implementation. It became known to N12 on Tuesday that the multinational force is not expected to start entering the Strip before October and may only enter after the elections, while at the same time, the Shin Bet is working to train the militias that failed as a factor that will operate in 'Green Rafah'.
One of the most prominent expressions of the delay in the Peace Council plan is the establishment of the multinational force that is supposed to operate in the Strip. According to the emerging plan, Morocco is expected to send about 500 soldiers, while Kosovo and Albania are expected to contribute only dozens of soldiers each. However, in Israel, it is believed that this force is not expected to enter Gaza in the near future.
Also, the plan to establish 'Green Rafah', which is supposed to be one of the central anchors of the plan in the territory under IDF control, is currently far from realization. The Emiratis are promoting the establishment of a new neighborhood in eastern Rafah, with approval recently given to begin work on preparing the land and infrastructure. However, these are works that are expected to last about half a year, and the assessment is that the placement of caravans and mobile units on the ground will not begin before November 2026, after the elections.
At the same time, the Shin Bet seeks to integrate the heads of local militias in the Strip into the process, who will operate in the area that is supposed to become a Hamas-free zone. Here lies the absurdity — the model they are trying to rely on has already been tried and failed to create a real alternative to Hamas rule. Yasser Abu Shabab, who was marked as one of the central figures in the move, and other activists were killed, and the remaining militias have so far failed to prove that they are capable of establishing effective control on the ground.
The civilian component of the plan also remains stuck. According to estimates, the entry of the Palestinian technocrat committee into the Strip is not on the horizon at this stage. It should be noted that behind the scenes, Mohammed Dahlan is also involved, who is driving a large humanitarian aid project and initiating moves to promote the rehabilitation of the Strip on behalf of the UAE, while working to strengthen his support base.
This delay gives Hamas exactly the resource it seeks to obtain now — time. The terrorist organization is expected to try to drag out the disarmament process for long months. As long as the attacks and liquidations do not resume, Hamas can use the period for recruiting operatives, training, and rebuilding its strength. And thus, instead of attention being directed to the reshaping of the Gaza Strip, political developments in Israel and the approaching elections may prolong the interim period that Hamas is enjoying.
