New Poll Shows Winter's Party Crossing Threshold as Eisenkot Leads
A new poll reveals Ofer Winter's party crossing the electoral threshold with 4 mandates, bringing Netanyahu's bloc to 51 seats. Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar! leads with 25 mandates.
A new poll published on Wednesday, a day after the deadline for submitting electoral lists for the upcoming Knesset elections, reveals significant shifts among smaller parties hovering around the electoral threshold. According to the survey, the "Amkha Israel" party led by Ofer Winter is gaining momentum, securing 3.5% of the vote and crossing the threshold with 4 mandates.
Party Standings and Mandate Distribution
In the overall mandate distribution, the "Yashar!" party led by Gadi Eisenkot leads the poll as the largest party with 25 seats, followed by Likud with 21 mandates. The "BeYachad" joint list headed by Naftali Bennett receives 14 mandates, while Yisrael Beytenu led by Avigdor Lieberman and The Democrats led by Yair Golan each secure 9 mandates.
Further down the political spectrum, Otzma Yehudit led by Itamar Ben Gvir, United Torah Judaism under its new chairman Yaakov Asher, Shas led by Aryeh Deri, and the joint Arab lists each reach 7 mandates. The joint list of Religious Zionism and Zehut headed by Bezalel Smotrich and Moshe Feiglin stands at 5 mandates, matching Ra'am led by Mansour Abbas with 5 mandates, while Winter's Amkha Israel closes out the parties entering the Knesset with 4 mandates.
Bloc Breakdown and Parties Below the Threshold
In terms of political blocs, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition, including Winter's party, stands at 51 mandates. The Zionist opposition bloc holds 57 mandates, and the Arab parties receive a total of 12 mandates.
Remaining below the electoral threshold are the reservists' list led by Yoaz Hendel and Prof. Yaron Zelecha with 2.8%, the Ahi party led by Rabbi Abergel with 1.1%, Blue and White led by Benny Gantz with 0.9%, the Haredi Public party with 0.2%, and Noam LaYisrael with 0.2%.
«The poll indicates continued volatility in the struggles of small parties around the electoral threshold, directly impacting the broader makeup of political blocs.»
The survey was conducted on September 9, 2026, by Lazar Research headed by Dr. Menachem Lazar in collaboration with the Panel4All online panel. It included 506 respondents representing a cross-section of Israel's adult population aged 18 and older, with a maximum sampling error of 4.4%.
