In the Arab world they claim: 'The US attack on Iran will start at this rate'
The IRGC demands full control over the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for 'goodwill gestures' toward the US. Meanwhile, Pakistan and Qatar are leading mediation efforts to prevent a full-scale war.
The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) of Iran has notified Pakistan that they will not agree to a framework in which they do not have central control over the passage in the Strait of Hormuz, according to 'Aram News', citing diplomatic sources familiar with the contacts between Washington and Tehran.
According to the report, the IRGC proposed to formulate an agreement that would link the resumption of shipping in the strait to what they define as an 'expression of goodwill' by US President Donald Trump. Among the main conditions presented: a commitment not to resume attacks against Iran, the immediate lifting of the American naval blockade, and the rapid promotion of sanctions relief and the release of some of the frozen Iranian funds.
According to the sources, the IRGC also presented outlines of a framework to Oman, under which tankers and ships would pass through the strait along routes determined by Iran. Before each passage, the operators of the vessels would be required to provide Tehran with advance information, including the nationality of the ship, the identity of the owner, the identity of the passengers or crew members, the type of cargo, and the materials being transported.
The proposed arrangement is intended to operate initially as a pilot for a period of one to three months. At the same time, the Iranians demand that the US immediately lift the naval blockade and begin promoting economic relief, including the release of some of the frozen assets within a short period.
An attempt to prevent a total war
The report comes against the backdrop of mediation efforts led by Pakistan and Qatar in an attempt to formulate a unified Iranian position that would allow for reaching understandings with the US. The goal is to promote a ceasefire between Washington and Tehran, resolve the crisis surrounding the passage in the Strait of Hormuz, and prevent a deterioration into a total war.
According to the sources, such a danger was on the table until about 72 hours ago, before countries in the region intervened and opened new communication channels between the parties. Pakistan plays a central role in the contacts and is holding rounds of talks between Tehran and Islamabad. A diplomatic source stated that senior officials in the Pakistani army met in the last few hours with figures close to the commander of the IRGC, Ahmad Vahidi, in an attempt to achieve greater Iranian flexibility.
Disputes within Iran
Researcher Mohammad Al-Madahi, who specializes in Iranian affairs, argued that the main difficulty in the contacts stems from the internal conflict in Tehran. According to him, the government identified with the reformist camp seeks to reach an agreement with Donald Trump that will ease the pressure on the regime, while the IRGC believes that the US cannot topple the government and prefers to continue a limited and prolonged confrontation until the end of the American president's term.
He added that the cyclical confrontation is expected to continue: when the price of oil rises, the US will stop its attacks because it harms the American economy. According to him, when the price of oil drops to about 70 dollars per barrel, the attacks are expected to resume. If the Democrats win the midterm elections in November, Donald Trump may try to carry out a broad military move against Iran as early as December, before the new Congress takes office in January 2027.
