Fed
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Trump threatens the Fed: cut interest rates - or I will stop trade with countries with which the US has a deficit
US President Donald Trump has renewed pressure on the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates. He threatened to halt trade with countries that have a trade deficit with the US if the central bank does not comply.

Strong US employment report: 162,000 jobs added to the market in August - well above expectations
The US labor market strengthened significantly in August, adding 162,000 non-farm jobs, well above economists' forecasts. The unemployment rate remained steady at 4.1%.

Dollar falls to 3.00 shekels and stabilizes globally ahead of August US employment data
The dollar has fallen to 3.00 shekels, while the euro dropped to 3.49 shekels. Markets are awaiting US employment data, with forecasts of 55,000 new jobs and an unemployment rate of 4.1%.

Banking giant UBS warns: Do not make this mistake with the dollar
Bond yields are hitting highs not seen since 2008, but the US currency is not strengthening as expected. The bank's economists reveal new investment recommendations and identify preferred currencies.

Dramatic Signal from Wall Street: Investors Storm the Market
A senior Federal Reserve official shifted market sentiment, leading to sharp gains in New York. Tech stocks surged alongside an unusual recovery in the cryptocurrency market.

Moderate rise in the dollar in the local market to 3.03 shekels — second day of strong gains
The dollar is strengthening in the local market, rising by 0.3% to trade at 3.03 shekels, contrary to the global trend of the American currency. Investors are awaiting the upcoming US employment report.

Market Status: Red start to the week in Asia and on Wall Street futures
Globes presents an update on the state of global markets. Monday morning: escalation between the USA and Iran shifts sentiment after a month of relative calm. On Wall Street, bets on a near-term interest rate hike are rising, while stock exchanges in Tokyo and Seoul are losing over 1%.

Interest rate cut in Israel at risk: forecast from Mizrahi Tefahot Bank
Chief strategist Yoni Fanning analyzes the US Fed Chair's recent stance and explains how it may impact the potential for an interest rate cut in Israel.

The End of the Era of Excuses: The New Doctrine of the Fed Chair - Which May Affect the Entire World
Kevin Warsh's speech at Jackson Hole marked a shift in Fed policy: moving away from excessive market signaling and returning to full accountability for inflation without external excuses.

Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole: "We have more work to do on inflation"
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh delivered his first speech at the Jackson Hole conference. He emphasized that price stability remains the primary focus and that the 2% inflation target is firm and fixed.

Warsh's speech at Jackson Hole: Investors are calm, but still remember the Powell turmoil of 2022
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh is set to speak at the Jackson Hole conference. Investors are looking for clues on future monetary policy, though markets remain calm with the VIX volatility index trading below its annual average.

Waiting for Warsh's speech, dollar above 2.96 shekels
Foreign exchange markets are showing slight movement ahead of Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's speech in Jackson Hole. The dollar is trading above 2.96 shekels, up 0.1%.

Mixed trend in Asia; investors await the debut speech of the Fed Chair in Jackson Hole
Asian markets show a mixed trend as investors await the debut speech by new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh in Jackson Hole. Yesterday on Wall Street, Nvidia shares jumped 8.7%.

Fed officials step up at the governors' conference: "Now is the time to act" against inflation
Three Federal Reserve officials expressed ongoing concern today about the state of inflation in the US, as the annual Kansas City Fed economic symposium opened in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. They emphasized the need for action to return inflation to the 2% target.

Dollar stable below 2.97 shekels ahead of Jackson Hole symposium
The currency market remains calm ahead of the central bankers' symposium in Jackson Hole. Investors are awaiting Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's speech, which is expected to provide clarity on future monetary policy.

Giant stock plunges to a 12-year low on Wall Street: What happened to the beloved company?
After its buy recommendation was downgraded and against the backdrop of a weak forecast from one of its key partners, the well-known sports brand's stock has already lost about 40% of its value since the beginning of the current year and continues to worry investors.

Huge deficits and AI investments: what is pushing US bond yields to a peak?
The moderation of inflation and the weakening of the US labor market are lowering the probability of a rate hike there in September. However, investors are still concerned and are pricing in the risk in long-term bonds. Now also in podcast version.

Interest rate decision in Israel: Will the governor surprise the market?
Ahead of the September 1st decision, amid geopolitical and budgetary risks, Harel experts assess the likelihood of an interest rate cut in Israel while analyzing global economic trends.

New Forecast Revealed: Where Is the Gold Price Heading?
A dramatic review by the investment house Julius Baer presents a shake-up in global markets with updated forecasts for precious metals and a shift in the dollar-euro exchange rate outlook.

Dollar returns to growth, trading above 2.97 shekels
A trend reversal in the foreign exchange market: after yesterday's strengthening of the shekel, the dollar is rising by 0.3%, trading above 2.97 shekels.
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Unusual warning for investors in Israel: on the way to a painful blow to the housing and stock market
Central banks around the world are fleeing from American debt and yields are hitting multi-decade highs. Psagot analyzes the direct impact on the local bond and mortgage market and recommends how to act.

US Bond Yields Hit Two-Decade High: What It Means for Markets
US 30-year government bond yields have surged to 5.3%, offering a safe alternative to stocks. Experts analyze why this growth may signal a market storm and how it will impact Israeli borrowers.

In the shadow of the dollar's decline: The shekel is again the world's strongest currency
The dollar is at a low and Israel's real interest rate is attracting demand for the local currency. The shekel has strengthened by 2.5% in a month, but IBI estimates that the fading of foreign exchange factors will push inflation back up in the second half of the year.

Between American and Israeli inflation: slight rise in the dollar, above 2.98 shekels
Foreign exchange markets remain calm ahead of Israeli inflation data. The dollar is up 0.1% at 2.98 shekels, while annual US inflation dipped to 3.4% in July.

US inflation in July stood at 3.4%, in line with forecasts
US annual inflation slowed to 3.4% in July, matching market expectations. The Consumer Price Index rose by 0.1% month-over-month.

Dollar trades around 3 shekels ahead of US inflation data
The foreign exchange market is seeing moderate movements as investors await US inflation data. The dollar is strengthening by 0.1% to 3.004 shekels.

Swiss bank issues warning: this figure will impact the Fed's interest rate
The employment report reveals an unexpected decline in the number of employed and a sharp slowdown in hiring. Economists estimate that the Fed's next move will directly affect the markets as early as this September.

Investment Giant UBS: Opportunities for Investors Amid Market Tension
The Chief Investment Officer of UBS explains why the market is misjudging interest rates and which solid asset will provide a significant buffer against potential losses.

In the shadow of the AI revolution: The truth behind US bond yields
The Swiss bank's economic review reveals new data on the massive fundraising of technology companies and explains why investor concerns about market distortion may be misplaced.

In this game of musical chairs, no one will want to be caught last with $325 trillion in rapidly eroding debt
Giant investors like Ray Dalio, Jeffrey Gundlach, and Prof. Kenneth Rogoff believe that America has entered a critical phase at the end of which the government will struggle to finance its debt, the dollar's purchasing power will be cut, and its status as the dominant global power will be lost. There is a belief that the process could happen in just a few years. Why does the US have one of the...

Trump Renews Efforts to Remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook
The US President is renewing efforts to fire Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, citing allegations of mortgage fraud. Previous attempts were blocked by the Supreme Court, which noted that any new move must strictly follow due process.

USA: Sharp decline in the probability of an interest rate hike following weak employment data
The probability of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike in September has fallen to 43.9% following weak July employment data. The number of jobs decreased by 23,000, against an expected gain of 83,000.

Weak US employment data in July - a surprising decrease of 23,000 jobs
US employment saw a surprising decline of 23,000 jobs in July, missing the forecast of 83,000 new positions. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%.

Wall Street futures rise ahead of employment data release
Wall Street futures signal gains. European markets are trading positively, while Asian markets closed mixed. Bank of America estimates that the US labor market added about 80,000 jobs in July. Monday shareholders approved doubling the compensation package for the CEOs.

Wait-and-see mode in forex before the employment report - the dollar is stable at 3.01 shekels
Currency markets remain stable ahead of the US July employment report. The dollar is trading at 3.01 shekels as investors look for signals regarding future Fed policy.

The dollar is stable, above 3.04 shekels; "Fed rate hike forecasts are exaggerated"
Foreign exchange markets remain calm, with the dollar trading above 3.04 shekels and the euro above 3.50 shekels. Alex Zabezhinsky, chief economist at Meitav, argues that market forecasts for a Fed rate hike are exaggerated.

Wall Street Awaits: Earnings Reports and US Labor Market Data
The coming week on Wall Street will be marked by US employment data and the continuation of the second-quarter earnings season, with Israeli companies Tower, Nova, and Wix in the spotlight.

Turmoil in the markets: The dramatic split in the Fed that threatens the shekel and the dollar
The interest rate decision in the US led to a wave of rumors and fears of runaway inflation. Why should the giant collapse in South Korea worry us all, and how will the tensions with Iran and oil prices affect everyone's pockets?

Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Considers Reducing Interest Rate Meetings
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh is considering reducing the number of FOMC meetings where monetary policy is determined. This move would mark a significant shift in the bank's management and transparency.

Leading Economist Warns: Markets Are Misinterpreting Interest Rate Outlook
Julius Baer economists reviewed the Fed's decision to hold rates at 3.5%-3.75%. Despite market pricing, experts argue there is potential for further declines in US Treasury yields.

US Economic Growth Slows, PCE Index Falls for First Time Since 2020
US economic growth reached 1.5% in the second quarter, missing analyst expectations. Meanwhile, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index fell by 0.1% in June, marking the first decline since 2020.

The dollar is stable, trading around 3.08 shekels, the euro climbs to 3.52
The dollar is stabilizing against the shekel following the Fed's decision to keep interest rates unchanged. Amid new US strikes in Iran, the dollar trades near 3.08 shekels, while the euro continues to climb, reaching 3.52 shekels.

Interest rate in the USA remains unchanged | Immediately: Speech by the Fed Chair
The central bank left the interest rate in the USA unchanged at 3.75%, in line with market expectations. Despite the geopolitical escalation, the latest macro data did not give the Fed a reason to rush into monetary tightening, although markets are betting on an interest rate hike in September.

Dollar Rises to 3.06 Shekels Ahead of Fed Decision
The dollar rose 0.3% to 3.06 shekels in local trading as markets await the Fed's interest rate decision. Analysts are debating whether the central bank will maintain current rates or surprise with a hike.

Markets Await Fed Signal: Dollar Stable at Around 3.06 Shekels
A slight rise is recorded in the local foreign exchange market, with the dollar strengthening by 0.1% to 3.062 shekels. Investors are awaiting the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, due tomorrow.

Bitcoin surges again: The calm in the Middle East boosts crypto
The calm in the geopolitical arena, the drop in oil prices, and expectations for continued accommodative interest rate policy in the USA are bringing investors back to risk assets and providing a tailwind to the crypto market.

Dollar weakens at the start of Fed week, trading below 3.05 shekels
At the start of the week, amid expectations for the Fed's interest rate decision, the dollar is retreating in both global and local markets. The dollar is down 0.2% against the shekel, trading below 3.05.

Oil Prices Drop Amid Easing Tensions as Markets Await Fed Decision
Oil prices fell sharply after Iran announced a suspension of attacks, provided the US maintains a cessation of hostilities. Meanwhile, investors are bracing for the Fed's interest rate decision and a busy week of earnings reports.

Wall Street Week Ahead: Key Events That Could Trigger a Market Turnaround
Following reports from Google and Tesla that dampened sentiment due to massive AI capital expenditures, the market now faces the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and earnings from Microsoft, Meta, and Apple, alongside two major Israeli firms.

The Iranian War Has Raised the Stakes for a Federal Reserve Interest Rate Hike
Investors have increased bets that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 0.25% at its upcoming meeting. The probability has risen to 38% amid surging oil prices due to the escalation of the Iranian war.